As airstrikes in Gaza continue, support for ‘armed resistance’ grows, Hamas popularity drops

ByDANIELLE GREYMAN-KENNARD
OCTOBER 15, 2026 18:11
Upgraded: OCTOBER 15, 2026 18:21

Over half of Palestinians support a two-state arrangement with east Jerusalem acting as the capital of a Palestinian state, according to a brand-new survey released on Wednesday by the Ramallah-based Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research believe tank.

53% total assistance 2 states, with 56% backing consultative talks with Israeli figures they considered “anti-occupation,” just 48% of Gazan participants stated they would concur with the facility of a Palestinian state together with a Jewish one.

The study gathered information from 909 Palestinians in the West Bank and 488 in the Gaza Strip, living outdoors Israel-controlled area, and had a margin of mistake of 3.5%.

Asked what the existing challenge to Palestinian statehood was, 41% stated it was the growth of Israeli settlements while just 23% stated it was internal Palestinian departments.

The Palestinian think tank associated the boost in assistance for armed resistance amongst Gaza locals to continuous Israeli strikes in the Gaza Strip. Compared to the August survey, assistance for armed resistance increased from 21% to 37%, somewhat above the general average of 33% taped throughout both Palestinian areas. Diplomacy stayed the most popular alternative, nevertheless, with 42% of Palestinians supporting it and a more 18% supporting popular nonviolent resistance as the most efficient course towards developing a Palestinian state.

Displaced Palestinians reside in a cemetery in main Khan Yunis, in the southern Gaza Strip, after being not able to go back to their homes, which were damaged throughout the war in between Israel and Hamas, October 10, 2026.(credit: ABED RAHIM KHATIB/FLASH90)

Neither Hamas nor Israel won the war, state 62%of Palestinians

Regardless of the boost in assistance for armed “resistance,” 62% of Palestinians surveyed stated neither Israel nor Hamas had actually won the war. While 17% stated Israel had actually emerged triumphant, just 16% saw Hamas as the winner. Still, around three-quarters of Palestinians in general, 69% in the Gaza Strip and 78% in the West Bank, felt Israel must withdraw from the Gaza Strip before Hamas deactivates.

A lot of Palestinians were likewise cynical about the ceasefire’s potential customers, with 61% anticipating insecurity to continue. Just 42% stated they relied on the technocratic committee to govern Gaza. Rely on the committee was considerably greater amongst Palestinians in Gaza than amongst those in the West Bank, at 60% and 29%, respectively.

In regards to celebration association, just 19% of Palestinians related to Hamas, below 24% in August and 35% 10 months previously. Less than a quarter (22%) stated they supported Fatah, however a commanding 33% related to none of the noted celebrations.

Furthermore, while the August survey discovered a three-way race for management in between Marwan Barghouti, Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya, and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, the most recent survey recommends growing assistance for independent figures. Just 34% stated they would support Barghouti’s management, while 13% backed Palestinian entrepreneur Bashar Masri nationwide, increasing to 21% amongst participants in Gaza. Mustafa Barghouti got 12% assistance.

PA elections pressed back to next September

There is likewise still a strong desire for the Palestinian Authority to continue with the elections in November, which Abbas has actually pressed back to September next year. Over half, 53%, assistance holding elections on schedule on November 28 without hold-up, and an extra 21% prefer a brief functional post ponement of under 6 months to make sure administrative inclusivity, while 20% oppose holding elections entirely.

Total citizen turnout objective was discovered to be around 55% amongst qualified citizens, though just 31% of young people aged 18– 22 report being signed up on the citizen rolls, and their general ballot objective lags at simply 46%.

There is likewise substantial determination to choose a freshly formed prospect list, around 56%, and when checking 9 prospect lists amongst most likely citizens who have actually settled their options, the National Independent List led by Bashar Masri connected for top place with the list backed by put behind bars leader Marwan Barghouti, each protecting 22% of the vote.

Both the independent figure and put behind bars Fatah leader hold more assistance than the joint

Hamas-Dahlan List, which just got 20% assistance, and the main Fatah list led by Palestinian Vice-President Hussein al-Sheikh and backed by President Abbas (13%), and the National Initiative led by Mustafa Barghouti (13%).

According to the study, Masri’s appeal was carefully connected to self-confidence in his capability to handle Gaza’s financial healing and enhance the expense of living, with 30% stating they trusted him to do so. Mustafa Barghouti got a comparable level of trust, at 29%. Self-confidence in senior Palestinian Authority figures was significantly lower, with just 6% relying on Hussein al-Sheikh and 8% relying on Jibril Rajoub to handle these obstacles.

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