UC Davis
A record-breaking El Niño winter season and the possible loss or weakening of federal catastrophe management services are amongst the elements that might identify whether Californians deal with devastating floods this winter season and beyond.
A report launched today from the Securing California’s Flood Futureor SCFF, panel describes what California requires to think about for a long lasting and resistant flood future in the face of such disruptions.
“Whereas we will emerge from this El Niño next spring – wet or dry – the potential damage to U.S. flood-management and disaster-management institutions may take much longer to repair,” stated panel co-chair Nicholas Pintera teacher with the UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences and the Earth and Planetary Sciences department. “But political crises, like natural disasters themselves, open windows of opportunity for change. California possesses significant strengths on which to build.”
Around 7 million individuals in California and $900 billion in facilities are at threat from flooding. For the previous century, flood danger management in California has actually depended on a collaboration amongst federal, state and regional organizations. In early 2025, that collaboration started to deal with increasing unpredictability as the federal government started rolling back crucial services and programs, targeting the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and catastrophe management more broadly.
The SCFF panel formed in early 2025 to assist California browse federal turbulence surrounding flood threat. Their broad scoping report in September 2025 examined different hazard situations occurring from fast policy shifts in Washington, D.C., and their possible influence on California.
Secret suggestions
The brand-new report consists of actionable management and policy suggestions for California to think about in 5 crucial locations: flood danger mapping, land-use preparation, insurance coverage, danger mitigation and emergency situation management. Their suggestions consist of:
- Build on California’s flood-risk mapping abilities. Develop a statewide flood-risk mapping system that can enhance existing FEMA flood threat maps and run individually of them, if required. These maps need to represent climate-driven flood danger, reveal a variety of flood possibilities and make use of international flood-risk designs and brand-new steps of neighborhood vulnerability.
- Embrace greater state-based requirements for brand-new development and real estate to lower direct exposure to California’s floodplains. Purchase instructional platforms to direct land-use preparation. Promote infill advancement over urban spread.
- Secure, broaden and buy mitigation – among the most efficient and affordable methods to lower future catastrophe losses.
- Close California’s flood-insurance space and get ready for possible disturbances to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Flood insurance protection in California stays low. Pursue steps that increase insurance coverage uptake throughout the state, such as necessary protection, parametric microinsurance alternatives, and a lower-limit flood insurance coverage alternative included into house owner policies. Think about more enthusiastic techniques, consisting of universal flood protection.
- Prepare now for higher state duty for catastrophes. California ought to prepare for higher monetary and functional duty throughout readiness, reaction, healing and mitigation. California must reinforce interstate and intrastate mutual-aid arrangements, possibly consisting of an official Western States Disaster Alliance to collaborate policy, technical knowledge and resources throughout states.
From reactive to proactive
“Our recommendations are intended to help shift flood management from a reactive system that pays for losses after disasters occur toward a proactive system that reduces risk before disasters happen,” stated Pinter. “If pursued thoughtfully, these actions can strengthen California’s resilience regardless of the future direction of FEMA, the NFIP or other federal programs, while providing a model for other states confronting similar challenges.”
The panel’s extra professionals consist of co-chair Carolyn Kousky of not-for-profit Insurance for Good; David Conrad from Association of State Floodplain Managers; Craig Fugate and Andy Neal, both retired from FEMA; Mark Ghilarducci, retired from California Office of Emergency Services; Anna Serra-Llobet of UC Berkeley and Nancy Watkins of Milliman, a risk-management consultancy.
The report was sent to the California Department of Water Resources.
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