The Numbers Game: Rampant England goal to complete strong

England settle the very first global break of the season, intending to make it 3 straight wins in the Nations League.

After beginning their project with a 3-2 loss to world champs Spain at Wembley, England beat Czechia 2-0 and after that whipped Croatia 7-0.

Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka scored two times each, while Jude Bellingham was likewise on target and laid on 3 helps. Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers likewise scored in the emphatic success.

Thomas Tuchel has actually seen his group plunder 11 objectives in the 3 video games throughout this prolonged global window up until now, and there is another match to come, as Czechia go to Wembley on Tuesday.

This component comes simply a week on from a regular win in Prague, where the Three Lions were assisted by Pavel Sulc’s red card midway through the very first half.

Here, we sneak peek England v Czechia, contacting Opta’s crucial insights.

What’s anticipated?

The Opta supercomputer is making England the clear favourites, with a 79.8% win likelihood.

Czechia triumph in simply 7.9% of the design’s 10,000 data-led simulations, while there is a 12.3% possibility of a draw.

And provided the head-to-head record in between these groups, it is barely unexpected to see England so well fancied.

Czechia have actually lost 6 of their 8 competitive conferences with England (W2), though they have actually constantly reacted to back-to-back losses with a win– they have actually lost their last 2.

England are likewise unbeaten in all 8 of their video games versus Czechia at Wembley (W6 D2), the most current of which saw the Three Lions complete their Euro 2020 group-stage project with a 1-0 win.

The Three Lions have actually not lost back-to-back competitive home matches in between November 1999 (v Scotland) and October 2000 (v Germany).

7-0– England have actually tape-recorded their greatest margin of triumph versus a country ranked in the leading 50 of the FIFA World Rankings (given that 1992). Goliath. https://t.co/9ip8jDzozr

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) October 3, 2026

Tuchel’s group revealing their teeth

There was a lot disappointment amongst England’s fanbase in the wake of Tuchel’s practical, maybe downhearted, method throughout the World Cup semi-final defeat to Argentina, as there was a genuine sensation that this Three Lions team has the assaulting skill to cut through the majority of other groups.

That assaulting quality has actually been on program over the previous fortnight, and Tuchel will be considering up a strong surface to this extended stint with his team.

Throughout their last 4 video games in all competitors, England have actually won 6-4 versus France and 7-0 versus Croatia. It is the very first time they have actually scored 6+ objectives in 2 various video games in a fiscal year given that 2019, while they last did so in 3 various video games in 1908.

And while Kane stays England’s talisman up leading, there is a myriad of skill behind the Bayern Munich captain who are showing the Three Lions ought to constantly be out to mark their authority on matches.

Gordon has actually scored in each of his last 4 looks for England. The last gamer besides Kane to score in 5 in a row for the group was Wayne Rooney in between October 2014 and March 2015.

The Barcelona winger has really netted 2 headed objectives in his last 2 England looks– throughout 248 overall club looks, he has actually not scored a single header.

Aside from Kane, Gordon is the only gamer to be straight associated with an objective in 5 successive England looks throughout the last 10 years (4 objectives, 2 helps).

Versus Croatia, Saka scored 2 right-footed objectives in a match for the very first time in his senior profession for club and nation.

Bellingham, on the other hand, was straight associated with more than 2 objectives in an England video game for the very first time. He is the very first gamer to tape 3 helps in a video game for the Three Lions given that Trent Alexander-Arnold versus San Marino in November 2021.

4– Jude Bellingham is the very first midfielder to tape-record 4 objective participations in a match for England because David Platt scored 4 versus San Marino in February 1993. Incredible. https://t.co/2LNCXbEQXd

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) October 3, 2026

England have actually lost Alex Scott, who confronts 2 months on the sidelines, and Ezri Konsa due to injury, with Rico Lewis contacted, however their attack is in shape and shooting.

Czechia’s miserable start

What of Czechia?

They sit bottom of the group after losing their opening 3 video games, decreasing 3-1 to Spain and 2-1 to Croatia, either side of that defeat to England.

Santi Denia has actually lost all 3 of his video games in charge of Czechia and might be the 2nd supervisor to lose their very first 4 matches with the country after Vaclav Jezek in 1973, then as Czechoslovakia.

Czechia have actually lost 5 of their last 6 video games in all competitors (D1), consisting of each of the last 4 in a row. They last lost 5 consecutively in between July 1972 and March 1973.

Throughout all of the groups completing in the 2026-27 Nations League, Czechia’s 1.73 anticipated objectives is the sixth-lowest. They have actually had simply 16 shots, with just Gibraltar (14) and Liechtenstein (9) having less efforts in the competitors.

Just 6 groups, on the other hand, have actually yielded more objectives than Czechia (7) up until now.

Czechia have actually currently dealt with 56 shots– approximately 18.7 per video game– with 22 of those striking the target.

This is a group that are not scientific moving forward and are open at the back. England, in the house, need to not be having any problem.

Time for our last training session of camp All 22 #ThreeLions are out prepared to work ahead of our match versus Czechia tomorrow! https://t.co/GmOMtZ2UBR

— England (@England) October 5, 2026

GAMERS TO WATCH

England– Harry Kane

If Kane functions in this match, he will make his 125th England look, which would see him equivalent Peter Shilton as the all-time most capped gamer in the Three Lions’ history.

With his double last time out, Kane ended up being the very first gamer to score 10+ objectives in 3 various fiscal year for England: 11 in 2026, 16 in 2021 and 12 in 2019.

Kane has actually netted 89 objectives throughout his 124 caps to date, and a flurry here might well set him en route to truly surround a century before 2026 is up. At least, he ought to be targeting making this fiscal year his finest for an objective return on the worldwide phase.

Czechia– Adam Hlozek

Provided their dull kind, Czechia barely have lots of gamers who are shining in an assaulting sense.

Hlozek has actually been one of their much better entertainers.

He blazes a trail in their team in the previous 3 video games for objective participations (2 helps), shots (4) and opportunities developed (4).

England’s defence must not have excessive to stress over, however Hlozek might present them a couple of issues if provided the opportunity.